To analyze a graph El Mostafa Belkhayate uses 2 indicators which
are both based on the concept center of gravity of a stock movement.
1. The first indicator, Belkhayate Barycenter, calculates the center of gravity
of a dynamic market. He is represented by parallel stripes which seem to serve
as support and resistance.
2. The indicator Belkhayate Timing, calculates the static center of gravity. It is represented by the graph below the price chart and provides areas for optimal probability buy or sell.
Reading both of these indicators can have immediate visibility on the evolution
likelihood of a market without the need for comments. At a glance, the reader
will know whether buy, sell or wait and do nothing.
The indicator Belkhayate Barycenter
This indicator uses a mathematical formula developed (polynomial nonparametric
regression) to calculate first the center of gravity of a moving stock (blue
line), then 3 standard deviations to upwards (red stripes) and 3 down (green
stripes). The amplitudes of these deviations are always proportions of the
golden number 1.618. And we will realize, after having studied this
indicator on a hundred different markets that magic number is actually printed
in the brains of human beings, whatever race or origin.
1. The first observation is that all financial markets oscillate
around their center gravity. They exaggerate the up or down from a consensus of
prices or less unconscious.
2. The amplitude of these exaggerations is not random, quite the contrary: as
seen on graph above (the market for U.S. Treasury bills), the amplitude is very
often equal to the exact proportions of the golden to the center of gravity
dynamics. As if the hype man is highly dependent on the number of gold.
3. The blue curve, representing the dynamic center of gravity gives us so
immediate and visual direction of the current market trend is bearish. Since the
blue curve was bent down.
4. The extreme lines red and green indicate the amplitude of breathing market.
Otherwise said its volatility. It is also an immediate and easy reading for
visual. Like all markets vary in elasticity with respect to their center of
gravity, these lines are extreme vitally important for making decisions to buy
or sell.
5. The basic indicator Belkhayate Barycenter is simple: when the price between
in the area contained by the two red lines, we are in an area conducive to the
sale (because the probability that the market comes back, like a rubber band
around its center of gravity is approximately 90%) and vice versa when the price
falls within the lower area contained by the lines green.
6. The corollary of this principle is not recommended to buy when the price is
above the center of gravity, or sell when below.
The indicator Belkhayate Barycenter is dynamic and is calculated
(and therefore change) each period 4 hours (240 minutes). It is the 'time frame'
of the graph, or periodicity. It then adapts gradually to evolve the market
while tracing a valuable historical past of the 250 periods.
To optimize the technical analysis, we included an indicator based on the
revolutionary barycenter static indicator Belkhayate Timing. The simultaneous
reading of these two indicators provides immediate visibility of likely
developments and short-term, any market Fellow.
The indicator Belkhayate Timing
This indicator is an oscillator that provides 3 types of very important areas:
•The area 'dark gray' in the middle which represents the area centroid. When the
price is in this area, it is recommended to do nothing because the probability
of being right (or wrong) is about 50%. It is a neutral zone where he must show
patience and prepare next position.
• Areas 'light gray' areas represent the extreme where it is recommended that
profits. Liquidate its position in the 'gray' contained by the red lines and
redeem its position in the 'gray' contained by the green lines. And this, of
course, in agreement with the basic indicator Belkhayate Barycenter.
• The white areas beyond the extreme regions, called zones of alert, which issue
buy signals and sell high probability of success.
Rule base system Belkhayate:
When the indicator Belkhayate Timing, zone alarm is reached, we check if it
matches an area of extreme indicator Belkhayate Barycenter. If so, then the
probability that signal is valid is greater than 80%.
This analysis system is easy to use and is of considerable power. With
experience, the eye inured and detects a split second what to do, even when the
market seems complicated. For a simple reason: we offer mathematics benchmarks
is more or less unaware of the majority of traders. Benchmarks that allow us to
know in advance the area prices where they are given ppointments without even
knowing it.